On Germany's new government's plans for wind
Are wind farms about to be built on two percent of the German landmass?
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Germany’s new “super minister” for the climate and the economy, Green leader Robert Habeck, announced his plans for ramping up Germany’s wind energy production last week.
Overall, Habeck wants to increase the proportion of electricity being produced with renewables from the current 40 percent to 80 percent by the end of the decade. That’s a challenge made all the more ambitious by the fact that cars and heating are both supposed to go electric in the coming years, meaning that the total amount of energy needed to create electricity will also increase substantially.
Habeck wants solar panels on the roofs of all new commercial properties - that’s probably not too controversial. The part of the plan that is likely to cause a stink though is a proposal to set aside two percent of Germany’s landmass for wind energy. In other words, two percent of Germany will be a power plant by the end of the decade.
Estimates for just how many wind turbines would be needed to fulfill Habeck’s target vary significantly. At the moment there are some 30,000 turbines spinning away on German soil - conservative estimates foresee this number doubling to around 65,000.
Wind farms are often unpopular with local inhabitants, who hold up new projects via legal complaints, often made on the grounds of nature preservation. Put cynically: show me planning for a wind farm and I’ll show you a village who’ve discovered a sudden love for a rare bat colony.
While bats are a useful tool in holding up plans, speak to locals and they usually have more prosaic concerns: the industrialization of their landscapes, a loss of value of their houses, and sleepless nights caused by ‘infrasound’. Some of these, at least, are legitimate concerns.
Habeck is well aware that so-called “nimby-ism” is the biggest barrier to what he terms “the biggest political task of our generation.” When announcing his plans on Tuesday, he promised to set out on a national tour. “I will be travelling a lot in the country to convince people,” he said.
But if he has a carrot in one hand, he has a stick in the other.
Habeck announced that, in the future, the building of wind turbines would be anchored in law as being "in the overriding public interest and serving public safety". This classification will ensure that attempts to block projects based on nature protection are doomed to fail. For some environmentalists who were once close to the Greens, this’ll be a sour pill to swallow.
Another challenge Habeck will face will be in overcoming laws that state governments have enacted to try to prevent wind turbines being built on their patches.
No state has done this more effectively than Bavaria, where wind turbine construction has ground to a halt in recent years. This is down to a law passed in the southern state which requires any new turbine to be built at a distance from the nearest settlement of at least ten times its own height. Thus, a 200-metre turbine must be at least 2 kilometres away from the nearest village. In a country as densely populated as Germany, such a law is death knell for future wind projects.
One of Habeck’s first missions is therefore to convince Bavarian leader Marcus Söder to change course. “The distance rules that are holding up planning can no longer remain in place," Habeck warned ahead of his trip to Munich.
The Bavarians are unlikely to budge though - even if Söder has taken to hugging trees to demonstrate his green credentials.
Bavaria’s ruling CSU insist that their state is a “sunny land, not a windy one” and say that they would rather extend solar energy production.
The CSU responded to Habeck’s plans, by going for his achilles heel.
“I wouldn’t have thought that the Greens, of all people, would want to restrict people's participation rights,” said CSU faction leader Thomas Kreuzer, in reference to the party of ‘people power’ using federal law to stub out local resistance.
The Greens aren’t impressed by such attacks, though. They know that their new position as a member of the federal government means they can twist Söder’s arm if need be.
Thomas von Sarnowski, Green leader in Bavaria, told the Frankfurter Allgemeine newspaper that he would advise Söder to accept Habeck’s invitation for talks. Otherwise, “the higher card trumps the smaller one,” Sarnowski warned, explaining that the Greens would work with their coalition partners in Berlin to change the law and thus force the less important Bavarian state legislature to modify its planning rules.
Say hello to the new Green party, Germany. They mean business.
What else do you need to know?
Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock is in Kiev today for talks with the Ukrainian government over the threat of war on its eastern border. The Ukrainians have called on Germany to be a “true friend” and deliver weapons to help them deter a Russian invasion. But the most Berlin is prepared to offer is some helmets and bullet proof jackets. Baerbock will travel on to Moscow tomorrow and she’s said that Berlin is “determined to react” to any escalation. Putin must be quaking in his boots.
The Social Democrats have been hiding a little secret. Repeated press enquiries as to the current size of their party membership were rebuffed last year. Either Covid was preventing a clear picture of the numbers, the election was getting in the way, or the relevant contact person was on holiday. Now, they’ve finally produced the goods - and their membership has fallen below 400,000. The party, which had a million members at the peak of its 1970s popularity, claimed that the pandemic was making it hard to reach out to new demographics. Try telling that to the Greens, who’ve doubled their membership since 2015.
The Robert Koch Institute has halved the time it considers somebody to be recovered from the coronavirus and therefore ‘equal’ to a vaccinated person. People will only have entry to indoor venues and most of public life for three months after a positive test, instead of the previous six.
What members have been reading
The big issue from last week was Olaf Scholz’ statement to the Bundestag on Wednesday, in which he affirmed his intention to bring in a vaccine mandate for all adults. I broke down what the government’s plans are, how they hope to get the controversial bill through the Bundestag, and where the parties stand on the issue. READ HERE
On Friday, I took a look at another vaccine mandate - one that has been created through the back door for politicians in the Bundestag. Unvaccinated MdBs can no longer take part in debates or committee meetings. I put forward a hypothesis for why this breach of such a key constitutional right has caused so little stir - and members joined in with their own thoughts. READ HERE
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What is the public perception of both the responsible party for - and the duration of - the massive rise in gas prices? If the perception is that Russia is to largely to blame, does that blunt the anger at the government (and what does it suggest as possible solutions)? Could the dependence on Russian gas finally become a political liability, or do certain factions of the German elite (e.g. led by Schröder and other former officials) exert enough influence that they will find a way to point the blame elsewhere?
Been thinking about this for a bit and there is another aspect of this. The brutal version of this is that the clean energy revolution or ESG ( Environmental, Social and Governance) will be done on the backs of the working poor. Three examples, our heating bill doubled (from 40 a month to 70) an extra 30€ is less than my wife and I spend going out to dinner. I just gassed up (or petroled up for you Brits) at 1,67€ expensive but working from home saves me 350€ a month, so I'm way ahead. The working poor usually don't have that option, many need a car to get to work. 3rdly and I can't find the article but Germany's "greenest" city, walkable, solar panels on every house super exclusive, at the end of the article the mayor commented that it was an expensive city and the average German couldn't afford it. He also mentioned how everyone was opposed to the shipping industry bail out, those blue collar jobs should be shipped off to china.
So the whole point of this is will we see the rise of the Yellow Vests protests here. I think it could easily piggy back on the anti vax protest.
So the point of the
Secondly the ADAC (?) complained that soon driving will be a luxury for the rich.